Bitcoin
BTC/USDREFERENCELiquidity inflecting higher; rate cuts = risk-on tailwind
Updated 2026-09-03T10:31:27.773Z
Live price
$107,659 ▲ +1.48%
Open
$106,000
High
$107,743
Low
$105,589
Prev Close
$106,066
Live Chart — TradingView
LIVEBitcoin confluence
BULLISH 66/100 BULLISH · MEDIUM confidence
0Neutral100
Biases
Macro BULLISH
Technical BULLISH
AI BULLISH
Supporting
- •Fed Policy — Fed funds 4.25% · stance 0.6
- •Real Yields — 10Y TIPS 1.52%
- •DXY — DXY 97.45 · down
Conflicting
- •Geopolitics reading 28 resists the bullish case
Invalidation
- •Real yields reverse against the thesis
- •Bitcoin loses key support/resistance
- •A surprise inflation or labour print flips the regime overlay
Key levels
Resistance
$108,000
$114,000
Support
$98,000
$92,000
Invalidation
$89,000
Character
Regime
expansion
Volatility
high
Liquidity
high
Sentiment
68/100
Positioning & narrative
Long crowded (funding positive), but not extreme
Digital gold narrative + institutional ETF flows create a second demand vector.
AI view
Liquidity inflecting higher; rate cuts = risk-on tailwind.
Events that can move Bitcoin
| Date | Event | Region | Imp. | Prev | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sept 08:15 | ADP Employment Change | US | medium | 142K | 150K |
| 4 Sept 13:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls — Sep | US | high | 165K | 150K |
| 9 Sept 14:00 | Consumer Credit | US | medium | 11.4B | 9.0B |
| 10 Sept 13:30 | CPI YoY — Aug | US | high | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| 11 Sept 14:00 | FOMC Rate Decision (upper bound) | US | high | 4.25% | 4.00% |
| 17 Sept 13:30 | Retail Sales MoM — Aug | US | low | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 24 Sept 14:00 | Final Q2 GDP (QoQ ann.) | US | high | 2.4% | 2.4% |