Ethereum
ETH/USDREFERENCEBTC beta; macro tailwind capped by weaker relative demand
Updated 2026-09-03T10:31:27.773Z
Live price
$2,412 ▼ -2.38%
Open
$2,468
High
$2,475
Low
$2,405
Prev Close
$2,470
Live Chart — TradingView
LIVEEthereum confluence
NEUTRAL 62/100 BULLISH · MEDIUM confidence
0Neutral100
Biases
Macro BULLISH
Technical NEUTRAL
AI NEUTRAL
Supporting
- •Fed Policy — Fed funds 4.25% · stance 0.6
- •Real Yields — 10Y TIPS 1.52%
- •DXY — DXY 97.45 · down
Conflicting
- •Geopolitics reading 28 resists the bullish case
Invalidation
- •Real yields reverse against the thesis
- •Ethereum loses key support/resistance
- •A surprise inflation or labour print flips the regime overlay
Key levels
Resistance
$3,720
$3,940
Support
$3,200
$2,900
Invalidation
$2,700
Character
Regime
expansion
Volatility
high
Liquidity
high
Sentiment
55/100
Positioning & narrative
Neutral — underperforming BTC in this cycle
ETH/BTC continues to fade absent major application catalysts.
AI view
BTC beta; macro tailwind capped by weaker relative demand.
Events that can move Ethereum
| Date | Event | Region | Imp. | Prev | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sept 08:15 | ADP Employment Change | US | medium | 142K | 150K |
| 4 Sept 13:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls — Sep | US | high | 165K | 150K |
| 9 Sept 14:00 | Consumer Credit | US | medium | 11.4B | 9.0B |
| 10 Sept 13:30 | CPI YoY — Aug | US | high | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| 11 Sept 14:00 | FOMC Rate Decision (upper bound) | US | high | 4.25% | 4.00% |