NIFTY 50

NIFTYREFERENCE

Structural growth intact; valuations full

Updated 2026-09-03T10:31:27.773Z

Live price

24,541 ▲ +0.62%

Open

24,375

High

24,573

Low

24,284

Prev Close

24,388

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NIFTY 50 confluence

BULLISH
65/100 BULLISH · MEDIUM confidence
0Neutral100

Biases

Macro NEUTRAL
Technical BULLISH
AI NEUTRAL

Supporting

  • Fed Policy — Fed funds 4.25% · stance 0.6
  • Real Yields — 10Y TIPS 1.52%
  • DXY — DXY 97.45 · down

Conflicting

  • Geopolitics reading 28 resists the bullish case

Invalidation

  • Real yields reverse against the thesis
  • NIFTY 50 loses key support/resistance
  • A surprise inflation or labour print flips the regime overlay

Scenarios

REFERENCE
Base case 55%
Consolidation 30%
Invalidation 15%
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Key levels

Resistance

24,980

25,400

Support

24,050

23,620

Invalidation

23,300

Character

Regime

expansion

Volatility

medium

Liquidity

high

Sentiment

66/100

Positioning & narrative

66/100

FIIs returning; DIIs steady

India allocation story intact, but earnings need to catch up with price.

AI view

Structural growth intact; valuations full.

Events that can move NIFTY 50

DateEventRegionImp.PrevForecast
2 Sept 11:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI — Sep US low 49.4 49.8
3 Sept 08:15 ADP Employment Change US medium 142K 150K
4 Sept 13:30 Nonfarm Payrolls — Sep US high 165K 150K
4 Sept 13:30 Unemployment Rate — Sep US medium 4.0% 4.1%
10 Sept 13:30 CPI YoY — Aug US high 2.9% 2.8%
11 Sept 14:00 FOMC Rate Decision (upper bound) US high 4.25% 4.00%
24 Sept 14:00 Final Q2 GDP (QoQ ann.) US high 2.4% 2.4%