S&P 500

S&P 500REFERENCE

Soft landing priced; multiples full

Updated 2026-09-03T10:31:27.773Z

Live price

$7631.54 ▼ -0.71%

Open

$7692.87

High

$7707.90

Low

$7601.72

Prev Close

$7685.72

Live Chart — TradingView

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S&P 500 confluence

NEUTRAL
63/100 BULLISH · MEDIUM confidence
0Neutral100

Biases

Macro NEUTRAL
Technical BULLISH
AI NEUTRAL

Supporting

  • Fed Policy — Fed funds 4.25% · stance 0.6
  • Real Yields — 10Y TIPS 1.52%
  • DXY — DXY 97.45 · down

Conflicting

  • Geopolitics reading 28 resists the bullish case

Invalidation

  • Real yields reverse against the thesis
  • S&P 500 loses key support/resistance
  • A surprise inflation or labour print flips the regime overlay

Scenarios

REFERENCE
Base case 55%
Consolidation 30%
Invalidation 15%
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Key levels

Resistance

$7750.00

$7900.00

Support

$7520.00

$7400.00

Invalidation

$7280.00

Character

Regime

expansion

Volatility

medium

Liquidity

high

Sentiment

65/100

Positioning & narrative

65/100

AI-led leadership; breadth catching up

Earnings breadth is the swing factor for the 2026 tape.

AI view

Soft landing priced; multiples full.

Events that can move S&P 500

DateEventRegionImp.PrevForecast