Crude Oil WTI
WTIREFERENCETight balances + geopolitical premium
Updated 2026-09-03T10:31:27.773Z
Live price
$90.69 ▲ +0.52%
Open
$90.21
High
$90.79
Low
$90.02
Prev Close
$90.22
Live Chart — TradingView
LIVECrude Oil WTI confluence
NEUTRAL 64/100 BULLISH · MEDIUM confidence
0Neutral100
Biases
Macro NEUTRAL
Technical BULLISH
AI NEUTRAL
Supporting
- •Fed Policy — Fed funds 4.25% · stance 0.6
- •Real Yields — 10Y TIPS 1.52%
- •DXY — DXY 97.45 · down
Conflicting
- •Geopolitics reading 28 resists the bullish case
Invalidation
- •Real yields reverse against the thesis
- •Crude Oil WTI loses key support/resistance
- •A surprise inflation or labour print flips the regime overlay
Key levels
Resistance
$85.00
$89.20
Support
$78.20
$74.50
Invalidation
$72.10
Character
Regime
reflation
Volatility
medium
Liquidity
medium
Sentiment
58/100
Positioning & narrative
Managed money adds longs; OPEC discipline holds
Supply discipline keeps a floor; demand softness caps the ceiling.
AI view
Tight balances + geopolitical premium.
Events that can move Crude Oil WTI
| Date | Event | Region | Imp. | Prev | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 11:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI — Sep | US | low | 49.4 | 49.8 |
| 4 Sept 13:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls — Sep | US | high | 165K | 150K |
| 10 Sept 13:30 | CPI YoY — Aug | US | high | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| 11 Sept 14:00 | FOMC Rate Decision (upper bound) | US | high | 4.25% | 4.00% |
| 16 Sept 15:30 | EIA Crude Oil Inventories | US | medium | -4.1M | -1.2M |