Dow Jones

DOWREFERENCE

Cheapest major index; yield competition caps it

Updated 2026-09-03T10:31:27.773Z

Live price

$52767.43 ▼ -0.79%

Open

$53197.61

High

$53243.23

Low

$52733.74

Prev Close

$53184.29

Live Chart — TradingView

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Dow Jones confluence

NEUTRAL
61/100 BULLISH · MEDIUM confidence
0Neutral100

Biases

Macro NEUTRAL
Technical NEUTRAL
AI NEUTRAL

Supporting

  • Fed Policy — Fed funds 4.25% · stance 0.6
  • Real Yields — 10Y TIPS 1.52%
  • DXY — DXY 97.45 · down

Conflicting

  • Geopolitics reading 28 resists the bullish case

Invalidation

  • Real yields reverse against the thesis
  • Dow Jones loses key support/resistance
  • A surprise inflation or labour print flips the regime overlay

Scenarios

REFERENCE
Base case 55%
Consolidation 30%
Invalidation 15%
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Key levels

Resistance

$53400.00

$54200.00

Support

$52200.00

$51400.00

Invalidation

$50800.00

Character

Regime

expansion

Volatility

low

Liquidity

high

Sentiment

60/100

Positioning & narrative

60/100

Defensive rotation; industrials lag

Multiples gap vs growth index is historically wide.

AI view

Cheapest major index; yield competition caps it.

Events that can move Dow Jones

DateEventRegionImp.PrevForecast